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Active investigation / File 003

The Prediction Machine

A documentary series about betting on the future: the history, the money, and who gets hurt.

Case file

In progress

File 003 / A series

Americans have bet on elections for more than 150 years, and the idea keeps coming back in a new costume. It thrives, and someone gets hurt. Today it moves billions of dollars a month through apps in everyone's pocket. We are following the money, and the people it lands on.

Episode 1, in production: The Idea That Keeps Coming Back. We start at the beginning.

Who we want to talk to

  • People who study prediction markets, forecasting, gambling, or the history of betting on elections.
  • Economists and historians who can explain why this idea keeps coming back.
  • People who built these markets, traded on them, or got hurt by them.

What an interview looks like

  • In person or remote.
  • You will know what the series is about before the camera rolls.
  • What you say will be represented fairly.
  • We interview for the whole series, so your interview may appear in more than one episode.

How we work

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Talk to us

Experts, sources, and anyone with a story we should hear.

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